Economy
Money and Financial Markets
Money and the Value of Money
Money
is anything generally accepted as final payment for goods and services.
Throughout history many things have been used around the world as money,
including gold, silver, tobacco, cattle, and rare feathers or animal
skins. In the U.S. economy today, there are three basic forms of money:
currency (dollar bills), coins, and checks drawn on deposits at banks
and other financial firms that offer checking services. Most of the
time, when households, businesses, and government agencies pay their
bills they use checks, but for smaller purchases they also use currency
or coins.
People can change the
type of the money they hold by withdrawing funds from their checking
account to receive currency or coins, or by depositing currency and
coins in their checking accounts. But the money that people have in
their checking accounts is really just the balance in that account, and
most of those balances are never converted to currency or coins. Most
people deposit their paychecks and then write checks to pay most of
their bills. They only convert a small part of their pay to currency and
coins. Strange as it seems, therefore, most money in the U.S. economy is
just the dollar amount written on checks or showing in checking account
balances. Sometimes, economists also count money in savings accounts in
broader measures of the U.S. money supply, because it is easy and
inexpensive to move money from savings accounts to checking accounts.
Most people are
surprised to learn that when banks make loans, the loans create new
money in the economy. As we’ve seen, banks earn profits by lending out
some of the money that people have deposited. A bank can make loans
safely because on most days, the amount some customers are depositing in
the bank is about the same amount that other customers are withdrawing.
A bank with many customers holding a lot of deposits can lend out a lot
of money and earn interest on those loans. But of course when that
happens, the bank does not subtract the amount it has loaned out from
the accounts of the people who deposited funds in savings and checking
accounts. Instead, these depositors still have the money in their
accounts, but now the people and firms to whom the bank has loaned money
also have that money in their accounts to spend. That means the total
amount of money in the economy has increased. This process is called
fractional reserve banking, because after making loans the bank retains
only a fraction of its deposits as reserves. The bank really could not
pay all of its depositors without calling in the loans it has made. It
also means that money is created when banks make loans but destroyed
when loans are paid off.
At one time the dollar,
like most other national currencies, was backed by a specified quantity
of gold or silver held by the federal government. At that time, people
could redeem their dollars for gold or silver. But in practice paper
currency is much easier to carry around than large amounts of gold or
silver. Therefore, most people have preferred to hold paper money or
checking balances, as long as paper currency and checks are accepted as
payment for goods and services and maintain their value in terms of the
amount of goods and services they can buy.
Eventually governments
around the world also found it expensive to hold and guard large
quantities of gold or silver. As foreign trade grew, governments found
it especially difficult to transfer gold and silver to other countries
that decided to redeem paper money acquired through international trade.
They, too, changed to using paper currencies and writing checks against
deposits in accounts. In 1971 the United States suspended the
international payment of gold for U.S. currency. This action effectively
ended the gold standard, the name for this official link between the
dollar and the price of gold. Since then, there has been no official
link between the dollar and a set price for gold, or to the amount of
gold or other precious metals held by the U.S. government.
The real value of the
dollar today depends only on the amount of goods and services a dollar
can purchase. That purchasing power depends primarily on the
relationship between the number of dollars people are holding as
currency and in their checking and savings accounts, and the quantity of
goods and services that are produced in the economy each year. If the
number of dollars increases much more rapidly than the quantity of goods
and services produced each year, or if people start spending the dollars
they hold more rapidly, the result is likely to be inflation. Inflation
is an increase in the average price of all goods and services. In other
words, it is a decrease in the value of what each dollar can buy.The
Federal Reserve System and Monetary Policy
Governments
often attempt to reduce inflation by controlling the supply of money.
Consequently, organizations that control how much money is issued in an
economy play a major role in how the economy performs, in terms of
prices, output and employment levels, and economic growth. In the United
States, that organization is the nation’s central bank, the Federal
Reserve System. The system’s name comes from the fact that the Federal
Reserve has the legal authority to make banks hold some of their
deposits as reserves, which means the banks cannot lend out those
deposits. These reserve funds are held in the Federal Reserve Bank. The
Federal Reserve also acts as the banker for the federal government, but
the government does not own the Federal Reserve. It is actually owned by
the nation’s banks, which by law must join the Federal Reserve System
and observe its regulations.
There are 12 regional
Federal Reserve banks. These banks are not commercial banks. They do not
accept savings deposits from or provide loans to individuals or
businesses. Instead, the Federal Reserve functions as a central bank for
other banks and for the federal government. In that role the Federal
Reserve System performs several important functions in the national
economy. First, the branches of the Federal Reserve distribute paper
currency in their regions. Dollar bills are actually Federal Reserve
notes. You can look at a dollar bill of any denomination and see the
number for the regional Federal Reserve Bank where the bill was
originally issued. But of course the dollar is a national currency, so a
bill issued by any regional Federal Reserve Bank is good anyplace in the
country. The distribution of currency occurs as commercial banks convert
some of their reserve balances at the Federal Reserve System into
currency, and then provide that currency to bank depositors who decide
to hold some of their money balances as currency rather than deposits in
checking accounts. The U.S. Treasury prints new currency for the Federal
Reserve System. The bills are introduced into circulation when
commercial banks use their reserves to buy currency from the Federal
Reserve Bank.
Second, the regional
Federal Reserve banks transfer funds for checks that are deposited by a
bank in one part of the country, but were written by someone who has a
checking account with a bank in another part of the country. Millions of
checks are processed this way every business day. Third, the regional
Federal Reserve Banks collect and analyze data on the economic
performance of their regions, and provide that information and their
analysis of it to the national Federal Reserve System. Each of the 12
regions served by the Federal Reserve banks has its own economic
characteristics. Some of these regional economies are concerned more
with agricultural issues than others; some with different types of
manufacturing and industries; some with international trade; and some
with financial markets and firms. After reviewing the reports from all
different parts of the country, the national Federal Reserve System then
adopts policies that have major effects on the entire U.S. economy.
By far the most
important function of the Federal Reserve System is controlling the
nation’s money supply and the overall availability of credit in the
economy. If the Federal Reserve System wants to put more money in the
economy, it does not ask the Treasury to print more dollar bills.
Remember, much more money is held in checking and savings accounts than
as currency, and it is through those deposit accounts that the Federal
Reserve System most directly controls the money supply. The Federal
Reserve affects deposit accounts in one of three ways.
First, it can allow
banks to hold a smaller percentage of their deposits as reserves at the
Federal Reserve System. A lower reserve requirement allows banks to make
more loans and earn more money from the interest paid on those loans.
Banks making more loans increase the money supply. Conversely, a higher
reserve requirement reduces the amount of loans banks can make, which
reduces or tightens the money supply.
The second way the
Federal Reserve System can put more money into the economy is by
lowering the rate it charges banks when they borrow money from the
Federal Reserve System. This particular interest rate is known as the
discount rate. When the discount rate goes down, it is more likely that
banks will borrow money from the Federal Reserve System, to cover their
reserve requirements and support more loans to borrowers. Once again,
those loans will increase the nation’s money supply. Therefore, a
decrease in the discount rate can increase the money supply, while an
increase in the discount rate can decrease the money supply.
In practice, however,
banks rarely borrow money from the Federal Reserve, so changes in the
discount rate are more important as a signal of whether the Federal
Reserve wants to increase or decrease the money supply. For example,
raising the discount rate may alert banks that the Federal Reserve might
take other actions, such as increasing the reserve requirement. That
signal can lead banks to reduce the amount of loans they are making.
The third way the
Federal Reserve System can adjust the supply of money and the
availability of credit in the economy is through its open market
operations—the buying or selling of government bonds. Open market
operations are actually the tool that the Federal Reserve uses most
often to change the money supply. These open-market operations take
place in the market for government securities. The U.S. government
borrows money by issuing bonds that are regularly auctioned on the bond
market in New York. The Federal Reserve System is one of the largest
purchasers of those bonds, and the bank changes the amount of money in
the economy when it buys or sells bonds.
Government bonds are
not money, because they are not generally accepted as final payment for
goods and services. (Just try paying for a hamburger with a government
savings bond.) But when the Federal Reserve System pays for a federal
government bond with a check, that check is new money—specifically, it
represents a loan to the government. This loan creates a higher balance
in the government’s own checking account after the funds have been
transferred from the privately owned Federal Reserve Bank to the
government. That new money is put into the economy as soon as the
government spends the funds. On the other hand, if the Federal Reserve
sells government bonds, it collects money that is taken out of
circulation, since the bonds that the Federal Reserve sells to banks,
firms, or households cannot be used as money until they are redeemed at
a later date.
The Wall Street
Journal and other financial media regularly report on purchases of
bonds made by the Federal Reserve and other buyers at auctions of U.S.
government bonds. The Federal Reserve System itself also publishes a
record of its buying and selling in the bond market. In practice, since
the U.S. economy is growing and the money supply must grow with it to
keep prices stable, the Federal Reserve is almost always buying bonds,
not selling them. What changes over time is how fast the Federal Reserve
wants the money supply to grow, and how many dollars worth of bonds it
purchases from month to month.
To summarize the
Federal Reserve System’s tools of monetary policy: It can increase the
supply of money and the availability of credit by lowering the
percentage of deposits that banks must hold as reserves at the Federal
Reserve System, by lowering the discount rate, or by purchasing
government bonds through open market operations. The Federal Reserve
System can decrease the supply of money and the availability of credit
by raising reserve ratios, raising the discount rate, or by selling
government bonds.
The Federal Reserve
System increases the money supply when it wants to encourage more
spending in the economy, and especially when it is concerned about high
levels of unemployment. Increasing the money supply usually decreases
interest rates—which are the price of money paid by those who borrow
funds to those who save and lend them. Lower interest rates encourage
more investment spending by businesses, and more spending by households
for houses, automobiles, and other “big ticket” items that are often
financed by borrowing money. That additional spending increases national
levels of production, employment, and income. However, the Federal
Reserve Bank must be very careful when increasing the money supply. If
it does so when the economy is already operating close to full
employment, the additional spending will increase only prices, not
output and employment.Effect
of Monetary Policies on the U.S. Economy
The
monetary policies adopted by the Federal Reserve System can have
dramatic effects on the national economy and, in particular, on
financial markets. Most directly, of course, when the Federal Reserve
System increases the money supply and expands the availability of
credit, then the interest rate, which determines the amount of money
that borrowers pay for loans, is likely to decrease. Lower interest
rates, in turn, will encourage businesses to borrow more money to invest
in capital goods, and will stimulate households to borrow more money to
purchase housing, automobiles, and other goods.
But the Federal Reserve
System can go too far in expanding the money supply. If the supply of
money and credit grows much faster than the production of goods and
services in the economy, then prices will increase, and the rate of
inflation will rise. Inflation is a serious problem for those who live
on fixed incomes, since the income of those individuals remains constant
while the amount of goods and services they can purchase with their
income decreases. Inflation may also hurt banks and other financial
institutions that lend money, as well as savers. In a period of
unanticipated inflation, as the value of money decreases in terms of
what it will purchase, loans are repaid with dollars that are worth less.
The funds that people have saved are worth less, too.
When banks and savers
anticipate higher inflation, they will try to protect themselves by
demanding higher interest rates on loans and savings accounts. This will
be especially true on long-term loans and savings deposits, if the
higher inflation is considered likely to continue for many years. But
higher interest rates create problems for borrowers and those who want
to invest in capital goods.
If the supply of money
and credit grows too slowly, however, then interest rates are again
likely to rise, leading to decreased spending for capital investments
and consumer durable goods (products designed for long-term use, such as
television sets, refrigerators, and personal computers). Such decreased
spending will hurt many businesses and may lead to a recession, an
economic slowdown in which the national output of goods and services
falls. When that happens, wages and salaries paid to individual workers
will fall or grow more slowly, and some workers will be laid off, facing
possibly long periods of unemployment.
For all of these
reasons, bankers and other financial experts watch the Federal
Reserve’s actions with monetary policy very closely. There are regular
reports in the media about policy changes made by the Federal Reserve
System, and even about statements made by Federal Reserve officials that
may indicate that the Federal Reserve is going to change the supply of
money and interest rates. The chairman of the Federal Reserve System is
widely considered to be one of the most influential people in the world
because what the Federal Reserve does so dramatically affects the U.S.
and world economies, especially financial markets.